South Eastern Australian Climate Initiative - Seasonal Forecasts

The South Eastern Australian Climate Initiative (SEACI) is a partnership involving government and industry, investigating the causes and impacts of climate change and climate variability across south eastern Australia. The seasonal forecasting theme is investigating the reliability of climate forecasts with lead times of three to twelve months. The Murray-Darling basin is a region of particular interest, as one of Australia's largest river basins and foremost agricultural regions.

El Niño, SST spatial pattern and Indian Ocean Dipole index forecasts. POAMA has skill in predicting tropical Sea Surface Temperature (SST) variations that are important for Australian climate. El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is the dominant driver of Australian climate variability. SST patterns over the Indian Ocean may play an important role in Australian winter rainfall variability.

SEACI Regional Rainfall Forecasts

SEACI Regional Temperature Forecasts

Statistical Calibration of POAMA rainfall for South Eastern Australia

 

For further information: email the POAMA group

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